March Madness

It has been exactly a month since I last wrote in my own personal blog. Blame it on house hunting, work or the fact that every free moment was spent watching basketball, but whatever the reason there is a lot to update. Some of it good (we signed our first contract on a house) and some if it bad (Duke losing to a 15 seed). It has been a hectic month. Since life generally has both good and bad moments I am going to look at the positive and negative of each subject.

Basketball
Good - UNC didn't make it to the Final Four. I know there will be excuses about Kendall Marshall's injury and if I was more compassionate individual I would feel bad for UNC. It is rare to get a team together with a potential of 7 first round draft picks (Barnes, Henson, Zeller, Marshall, McAdoo, Hairston and Bullock) and to have that season end because of an injury sucks. Still, that didn't prevent me from drinking Jameson yesterday and toasting the end to UNC's season.

Bad - Since my last blog post Duke went 2-3. They were destroyed by UNC at Cameron and lost in a close ACC semi-final game against Florida State. Both of those were bad, but nothing compared to Duke being upset by Lehigh. The year began with little expectations, but Coach K did a great job in leading his team to wins against really good teams like Michigan State, UNC, Kansas and Florida State. Those wins gave hope to a poorly constructed and athletically limited team. The team peaked too early, and eventually their flaws were fully exposed. Now the team suffers the loss of Austin Rivers and Mason Plumlee (how can a team that lost in the 1st round have two 1st round picks?) and only has one recruit signed for next year.

House
Good - We finally signed a contract on what hopefully will be our dream home. It is a 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom place in central Bexley. In terms of what we wanted it should have close to everything. The price was a little bit higher than we wanted to spend, but it is still in our price range based on every financial article I read on the subject of home buying. The home is being remodeled and should be ready by the end of May or early June. There will be a lot more updates to come.

Bad - The price probably prevents us from choosing the 15 year mortgage option, which was a goal of mine. I think we will go with the 30 year mortgage and just work on paying it off early. Also, on the day we signed the contract, I could hardly sleep that night because of concerns I had about the family room. It might sound strange, but I am very concerned about the placement of the tv compared to the couches. Our previous place in Edina was wonderful, but I never was 100% happy with how we had placed the couches in the room. Also, it isn't bad yet, but I really wonder what our stuff looks like after 6 months in the POD.

Travel
Good - So far through work I've been to New York and Miami (the one in Florida) and have another tripped plan to Dallas. The Miami trip was especially fun since I attended the Miami 2012 PINK Nation Spring Break Pool Party. Also, I'm only a few weeks away from my annual KC trip with some of my guy friends, which seems to be the unofficial start of vacation season. After that I have a Malphurs family trip to Florida and a week long trip to San Francisco to visit Nancy and Nicholas. It is hard to beat last year's trip schedule with Mexico and London/Paris, but this year should be a fun year.

Bad - Despite my bragging about my work trips (and I texted a lot of my friends with pictures from South Beach) it is actually a lot of work. During those work trips I tend to work more before, during and after the trip. For example my first day in Miami started with a wake up call at 3:30am, so that I could be at the airport in time for my 5:15am flight. That day didn't end till about 9pm and while it was great seeing a lot of stores and talking to so many talented coworkers it wasn't an easy trip.

There is probably stuff I am missing, but in the interest of time I will let that be for now.

Our house?

Still to be determined....

Outside:

Entering through the first door into the living room. To the left is the dining room and to the right is the kitchen and then the family room.

A view of the family room through the kicthen.

Looking back at the kitchen.

The guest bedroom downstairs

The 3rd floor bonus room

A view from the 3rd floor down to the kitchen

The master bedroom - no changes needed

2nd bedroom

3rd bedroom

Backyard

The dining room

The 2nd floor hallway leading into the master bedroom

Garage and hopefully a place to play basketball

Learning to Love - Duke/FSU

I wrote a post on Tobacco Road Blues about the Duke/FSU game last night if you were interested:

Learning to Love: Duke/FSU

House Hunting and the "Feeling"

When talking about buying a house, M and I hear all the time about the "feeling." Some people swear that they know what house is the right house based on the feeling. It is a simple as walking in and knowing this place is right. However, for us it doesn't seem like the feeling has made an appearance. We've made our list and have been diligently going through houses to see what best fits our wants and needs. There have been times where we have felt a certain affinity towards a home, but I don't know if that really constitues the feeling that people describe. I just wonder if we will ever reach this level of clarity that others seem to get when looking for a home.

I think that overall we are just trying to be rational about the decision. It is a big, important decision and there are a few unofficial motto's that we seem to be using:

"No step is better than the wrong step." Int the book I'm currently reading one of the people said this about Vietnam, and I thought that idea also seems to apply to house hunting. It is one thing regretting passing on a great home (ex. the Remmington home) and thinking that maybe we should have bought it. It is a completely different thing regretting buying a certain home that didn't fit what you wanted. For us if we end up passing on many good homes then that is ok as long as we avoid buying the wrong home.

"Be willing to walk away." This is the basic rule of scalping tickets, and I think it also makes sense with purchasing a home. We've been willing to put offers on two homes, but when we couldn't work out a price we didn't chase them. The latest home was something that I certainly could see us living in, but there were a few changes that we wanted to make. If we were able to negotiate a lower price then those changes would be a lot easier on the budget. However, when the seller was focused on getting their listing price for the homes then we were willing to walk away.

"Location, location, location." We could get everything we wanted in terms of a house if we were flexible on location. However, we aren't. Location is non-negotiable for us. We want a place with a good school district and we want a location that fits our personalities.

"You can never do too much analysis."  If you are reading this then the odds are pretty good that I've asked your advice on our house hunting. I might have asked about the qualitative (how you feel about homes, what's important to you, etc) or the quantitative (% of gross pay that should be devoted to home, negotiation strategies, etc). M and I want to be over-prepared. You might think we are being too particular or too involved in this decision, but I think a decision this important requires a detailed and lengthy analysis. I don't want to buy a home that we don't like at a price we can't afford. If you have any concerns about the type of home or the price of the home, then I am open to hear those challenges. My guess is that we have thought about them and have our reasons for our decision. With buying a home, I just don't want to be surprised later on by something that I didn't consider. From that I wanted to get as much advice as possible from my friends & family members.

With all that being written, we might be getting closer to finalizing a contract on a home. There is a remodel/rehab home that I've talked about before and it seems to be more and more of a possibility. We really like what the contractor is doing with the house and can see the advantages of living in a remodeled home. It is on a great street with the character homes that we wanted. Also, since it is being remodeled, we should have the advantages of a new build. There will be new windows, a new kitchen, etc. The goal is to sit down with the contractor and work out the details of our agreement. I want to know specifically what we are getting for the price we are spending. I'm crossing my fingers that this home works out and that come May/June we will be moving in to our new house.

Maybe then I will get the feeling that I feel like has been missing with our house hunting expedition.

New Home, New Blog

M and I in our quest to find the "perfect" home have certain categories with homes we see;

Category 1: Not a real possibility because of certain non-negotiable characteristics.

Category 2: Interest in the home, but with the idea that we need to do big structural changes. When we start talking about adding on an addition then we know it is probably not the home for us.

Category 3: Interest in the home as it is with the only changes being small minor things like painting and maybe some interior remodeling.

We found a home in category 3 and will be looking at it again tomorrow. If we like it, then we will put an offer on the home and go from there. Here is the link if you were curious: 254 S Cassady Ave.

Also, if you were missing my thoughts on the basketball (Duke specifically) I started writing a few posts for Tobacco Road Blues. Below are my three posts from there:

Duke-UNC preview
Being Wrong....
Does UNC lack a killer instinct?

Happy week-a-versary of Austin Rivers shot against UNC.

Duke - UNC preview

It is pretty amazing how quickly things have changed in the Duke - UNC rivalry over the past three years. Everyone knows that UNC won the title in 2009 and Duke won the title in 2010, but it goes deeper than that. There was a point in the past three years where it seemed like one school wasn't just doing slightly better than their rival, but that one team had such a upper hand that it almost didn't even seem like a rivalry.

On November 13, 2009 Harrison Barnes picked UNC over Duke. UNC had just come off winning the 2009 title and was 2-0 at the start of the 2009-2010 season. There was optimism in Chapel Hill, because Duke didn't seem to be Duke any more. They hadn't made it to the Final Four since 2004 and seemed to be the type of team that lost out on the top recruits (ex. John Wall, Greg Monroe, Harrison Barnes) and lost in the tournament to athletic teams like like Villanova the year before. It was clear who was winning the rivalry. This was the peak for UNC.

On September 30th, 2010 Austin Rivers picked Duke over UNC and Florida. Duke had just come off winning the 2010 title and were the pre-season #1 ranked team for the 2010/2011 season. They replaced Jon Scheyer, Brian Zoubek and Lance Thomas with future #1 pick Kyrie Irving and Seth Curry. There were some concerns about their size (could the Plumlees replace Zoubek's productivity), but most people were optimistic about lineup of future NBA players like Nolan Smith, Kyle Singler, Kyrie Irving and Mason Plumlee. They would start off the year beating good teams like Michigan State and Marquette and destroying a supposedly very good Kansas State team in a road environment (Kansas City) that had me texting my brother-in-law about being surprised if Duke didn't win the title. UNC had come off a year, where they went 5-11 in the ACC, lost to Duke by 32 and didn't even make the NCAA tournament.

It all came crashing down when Irving hurt his toe in the Butler game. The team was still very good (Nolan Smith in particular had an all-time year), but after Irving's injury they were no longer going to be an all-time great. With Irving, Duke could play a bad game and still beat most good teams, but after he was injured they no longer had that luxury. They still finished a really good year by going 30-4 (13-3 in the ACC) and blowing out UNC in the ACC tournament title. However, they tried to bring Irving back from his injury and the team chemistry issues clearly hurt the team. When they ran into an Arizona team that played at a higher level in a half than I can ever remember, it was over. UNC turned the things around and finished the year in the Elite 8.

Both sides of the rivalry could call it a draw after last year. It would have remained a draw if either of the following happened; A) Irving returned to Duke or B) Barnes/Zeller/Henson went pro. The good news for UNC is that neither A or B happened and they started this year off as the favorite to win the title. The rivalry had switched from UNC to Duke and back to UNC. 

That leads us to Wednesday night's Duke at UNC game. Both teams have reasons to be optimistic, but most likely both fan groups have been disappointed with how the year has gone. UNC has all the talent in the world and can seemingly turn their A game on whenever they want. However, they don't have a backup point guard, aren't great at defense and generally seem like they lack a certain amount of passion/heart. It is almost like they have read too much about how great they are and are just bored with the regular season.

Duke has somewhat of the opposite problem. They normally do have the passion/heart, but unfortunately the talent isn't there. Also, unlike UNC where everyone seems to have a role and a position, Duke is a team made up of shooting guards and Plumlees. Andre Dawkins and Seth Curry are great complimentary players, but both are somewhat repetitive. Austin Rivers can get to the basket at will, but has questionable decision making ability and a inconsistent at best *outside shot.

*He shoots 38.2% from three, but only 67% from the line. If you believe he is a good shooter than you look at the first number. If you think that he is a bad shooter than the second number sticks out. I believe more in the second than the first. He is a good driver, bad passer and bad shooter.

It is February 6th and Coach K is still messing around with his lineup. It is clear that he hasn't found a combination that works, so he tries things like a starting lineup of Tyler Thornton, Austin Rivers, Andre Dawkins, Josh Hairston and Mason Plumlee. I don't have the number of combinations, but there have been nine different Duke players that have started a game. Does he want to go offense with Dawkins and Curry or defense with Thornton and Hairston? Does he want to play both Plumlees or start Kelly? Does he think that he can go without a traditional point guard or should Quinn Cook be starting? It would be one thing if Coach K was messing with just the starting lineup as a motivation technique, but he is also struggling figuring out who plays at the end of the games. That screams to me that he has no idea what to do with this team.

Yesterday in the Miami game Duke had freshmen Quinn Cook as the primary ball-handler and decision maker at the end. In the beginning of the year that was Tyler Thornton. In the middle of the year it was sometimes Seth Curry. Duke can't seem to figure out who they are or what they want to be. This is in contrast to previous Duke teams (specifically the 2009/2010 team where everyone had a well-defined role) or this year's UNC 's team. Everyone know that Marshall is going to be handling the ball and leading the offense, Barnes will provide outside shooting and scoring, Zeller will be the go-to person on the block and Henson will be the defensive stopper. Roy Williams doesn't have to worry about changing up the lineup, because the team knows what it is and everyone understands their role. That isn't the case with Duke as you can see the confusion among players like Austin Rivers (scorer or passer?) and Mason Plumlee (main offensive threat or someone you go to when a 3 pointer isn't available?).

The main concerns I had after watching the Duke-Miami game were this:

• Duke isn't that good. They aren't very athletic and are poorly constructed. Certain players would be good players on other teams, but as a team they are pretty terrible.
• Their best offensive lineup would be Austin Rivers with the ball on the wing, Dawkins and Curry as spot up shooters, Ryan Kelly as a pick and pop option and Mason Plumlee as the low post option. Unfortunately that lineup can easily be stopped because Rivers struggles with the right decision and Dawkins/Curry can't create their own shots. This could be a decent offense if Rivers operated at the highest level, but there is little margin for error. Since Rivers can't seem to make the right decision then the best offensive lineup might be Cook, Rivers, Dawkins/Curry, Kelly and Mason Plumlee. 
• Their best defensive lineup would be Thornton, Rivers, some small forward that they don't have on their team, Miles Plumlee and Mason Plumlee. Notice only two overlaps in Mason Plumlee and Austin Rivers. That makes it tough to put together a lineup and the reason Coach K has been messing around with the right combinations.
• Regardless of their lineup Duke can't rebound. Miami of Florida missed 39 shots yesterday, but got 18 offensive rebounds. When a shot was missed by Miami there was almost even odds (46%) that they would get their own rebound. It is hard to get defensive stops if you can't get the defensive rebound.
• They didn't recognize what certain players were good and bad at doing. The Hurricanes 300lb center Reggie Johnson could score on the low block and did so effectively (11-17 shooting for 27 points). However, what he couldn't do was pass the ball (0 assists). Why didn't Duke double team him every time? I know that Miami made a lot of incredible threes in the first half, but in the end you just have to trust that they are a bad shooting team and that the odds will catch up to them.
• Duke's defense isn't very good, so maybe the best strategy is the high risk, high reward style that they employed in the 2nd half. They aren't stopping anyone playing basic man to man half court defense, so why not press, trap and basically take some chances. It worked for them in the 2nd half as they were at least able to force turnovers and get some easy baskets. They still couldn't stop Johnson in the post, get rebounds or prevent Miami from getting shots they wanted, but at least they were applying pressure. I think that it is best to follow the strategy of this year's Packers. The Packers would give up a lot of yards and even a decent amount of points, but their defense was designed to create turnovers and get the ball back to the offense. I think Duke's best shot is to recognize that they are a bad defensive team and decide to just try and create turnovers and confusion. The worst thing that can happen is that the other team will score, which seems to be happening enough already.
• If Miami can dominate with offensive rebounds then how does Duke stand a shot at stopping Carolina's front line? Besides stopping Marshall's dribble penetration that is my main concern with Wednesday's game.
• UNC should be favored by 8.5 points in Vegas. I think the game will end with a score something like 82-68.

As you can see I am not too optimistic about Duke's chances on Wednesday or for the season. I still hold out hope that they will be able to figure things out. They need someone to step up their game considerably and somehow everyone needs to find out where they stand in Duke's lineup. It is a poorly put together team that looks like a #3 seed that at best losses in the Sweet Sixteen. For Duke fans their only hope is that UNC continues to fall short of expectations, ends up with a #2 seed and losses in the Elite 8 to a team like Ohio State.

Not So Fast...

We are going to pass on the house I just posted about. The other offer seems to be real and we don't want to increase our price. Also, we are somewhat risk adverse to the idea/price of the addition. Our hope is that something better will come up soon.